Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

523.81 – 324.44

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

334 – 249

Prediction correct · off by 132.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 720.1 ±9.3

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 56.97Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 226.76Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1156Under Control

Season APEX 256Event APEX 240.08Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 532 ±11.7

8267Riptide Robotics 8267

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 147.81Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3193Falco Tech

Season APEX 88Event APEX 32.06Rank 32Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8393The Giant Diencephalic BrainSTEM Robotics Team

Season APEX 219.2Event APEX 144.57Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1155, 1796, 1156

/ 100 compat

Projected

523.8 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 1155, 1796, 1156

Auto

99.2 19%

Teleop

301.5 58%

Endgame

116.5 23%

Strengths

· 1156 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8267, 3193, 8393

/ 100 compat

Projected

324.4 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 8267, 3193, 8393

Auto

61.9 20%

Teleop

166.5 54%

Endgame

79.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score523.8pts

Blue projected score324.4pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 199.4
Score range: 288–560
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 583 vs event baseline 197.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

720.1Season APEX532

99.2Auto61.9

301.5Teleop166.5

116.5Endgame79.6

0Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	61
teleop	181	94
endgame	73	79
foul	5	15
total	334	249

Result

Final score

334 – 249

Prediction correct · off by 132.6 pts

Match videos

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