Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

394.4 – 227.74

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

425 – 259

Prediction correct · off by 30.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 588.4 ±10.5

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 199.17Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6348PrepaTec - HORUS

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 24.68Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4027Centre Punch

Season APEX 202.6Event APEX 170.55Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 535.5 ±11.6

334TechKnights

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 43.9Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6911SO BOTZ

Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 82.73Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7840EMONER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 168.1Event APEX 101.11Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 694, 6348, 4027

/ 100 compat

Projected

394.4 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 694, 6348, 4027

Auto

70.2 18%

Teleop

232.6 59%

Endgame

89.9 23%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 334, 6911, 7840

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.7 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 334, 6911, 7840

Auto

57.9 26%

Teleop

118.3 54%

Endgame

44.1 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score394.4pts

Blue projected score227.7pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 166.7
Score range: 193–429
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 684 vs event baseline 195.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

588.4Season APEX535.5

70.2Auto57.9

232.6Teleop118.3

89.9Endgame44.1

39Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	50
teleop	255	148
endgame	109	61
foul	0	0
total	425	259

Result

Final score

425 – 259

Prediction correct · off by 30.9 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.