Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
501.03 – 197.42
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
597 – 242
Prediction correct · off by 70.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 720.1 ±9.3
Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 216.66Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 49.3Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 256Event APEX 235.07Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 357.1 ±12.2
Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 70.11Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 67.24Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 87Event APEX 60.07Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1796, 1155, 1156
81
/ 100 compatProjected
501 pts
~2.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 1796, 1155, 1156
Auto
94.6 19%
Teleop
291.2 59%
Endgame
108.5 22%
Strengths
- · 1156 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1880, 10262, 2875
60
/ 100 compatProjected
197.4 pts
~0.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 1880, 10262, 2875
Auto
23.4 12%
Teleop
113.2 60%
Endgame
53.4 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.62 · Blue 0.7
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score501pts
Blue projected score197.4pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample160alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 303.6
- Score range
- 163–535
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
720.1Season APEX357.1
94.6Auto23.4
291.2Teleop113.2
108.5Endgame53.4
6Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 114 | 30 |
| teleop | 337 | 108 |
| endgame | 146 | 94 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 597 | 242 |
Result
Final score
597 – 242
Prediction correct · off by 70.3 pts
Match videos
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