Qualification · Qualification 65
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
63.01 – 291.88
5%95%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
62 – 398
Prediction correct · off by 53.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 228.4 ±16.2
3760Robo Raccoons
Provisional
Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 20.87Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 47.96Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58Event APEX -5.82Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 618 ±11.9
Season APEX 89Event APEX 13.56Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 72.26Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 206.06Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3760, 1155, 6024
21
/ 100 compatProjected
63 pts
~0.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 3760, 1155, 6024
Auto
0.6 1%
Teleop
39.7 84%
Endgame
6.7 14%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2869, 6911, 1796
80
/ 100 compatProjected
291.9 pts
~2.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 2869, 6911, 1796
Auto
55.2 19%
Teleop
170.4 59%
Endgame
61.5 21%
Strengths
- · 1796 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.56 · Blue 2.72
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score63pts
Blue projected score291.9pts
Red win probability5%
Event bonus sample160alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 40%, blue 66%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 15%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -228.9
- Score range
- 29–326
- Upset likelihood
- 5%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
228.4Season APEX618
0.6Auto55.2
39.7Teleop170.4
6.7Endgame61.5
27Consistency35
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 76 |
| teleop | 32 | 226 |
| endgame | 9 | 76 |
| foul | 0 | 20 |
| total | 62 | 398 |
Result
Final score
62 – 398
Prediction correct · off by 53.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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