Qualification · Qualification 64
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
334.79 – 48.01
97%3%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
318 – 7
Prediction correct · off by 28.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 537.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 67.35Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 62.97Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 204.47Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 132.3 ±19.2
6402GÖKTÜRKLER
Provisional
Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 21.7Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
10045Casque Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 37.6Event APEX 3.87Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 22.44Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10262, 358, 694
78
/ 100 compatProjected
334.8 pts
~2.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 10262, 358, 694
Auto
41.0 12%
Teleop
209.8 64%
Endgame
79.1 24%
Strengths
- · 694 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6402, 10045, 4571
27
/ 100 compatProjected
48 pts
~0.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 6402, 10045, 4571
Auto
8.0 17%
Teleop
32.0 67%
Endgame
7.7 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.65 · Blue 0.55
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score334.8pts
Blue projected score48pts
Red win probability97%
Event bonus sample160alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 286.8
- Score range
- 14–369
- Upset likelihood
- 3%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
537.3Season APEX132.3
41Auto8
209.8Teleop32
79.1Endgame7.7
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 74 | 6 |
| teleop | 207 | 0 |
| endgame | 37 | 1 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 318 | 7 |
Result
Final score
318 – 7
Prediction correct · off by 28.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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