Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

139.85 – 28.21

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

230 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 49 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 387 ±15.1

7840EMONER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 168.1Event APEX 91.96Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1880Warriors of East Harlem

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 61.74Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7272Envirobots

Provisional

Season APEX 46Event APEX -13.85Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 150.9 ±20.8

11313tROBOmakEr

Provisional

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX -8.94Rank 39Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7636Robomania

Provisional

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 11.39Rank 38Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10390GOOGIRL

Provisional

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 25.76Rank 36Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7840, 1880, 7272

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.9 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 7840, 1880, 7272

Auto

29.5 21%

Teleop

74.8 53%

Endgame

36.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11313, 7636, 10390

/ 100 compat

Projected

28.2 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 11313, 7636, 10390

Auto

12.6 47%

Teleop

-6.0 0%

Endgame

20.4 76%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.35 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score139.9pts

Blue projected score28.2pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 111.6
Score range: -7–175
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 266 vs event baseline 193.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

387Season APEX150.9

29.5Auto12.6

74.8Teleop-6

36.6Endgame20.4

67Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	13
teleop	99	18
endgame	60	5
foul	15	0
total	230	36

Result

Final score

230 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 49 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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