Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

352.11 – 5.8

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

411 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 37.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 436.9 ±12.8

4027Centre Punch

Season APEX 202.6Event APEX 165.94Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8011Wayi Guangzhou

Season APEX 147.3Event APEX 128.81Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2875CyberHawks

Season APEX 87Event APEX 57.36Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 174.3 ±16

8739Redhawk Robotics

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 10.21Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

9642I.N.T. Robotics

Season APEX 94Event APEX 18.39Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

335Skillz Tech Gear Botz

Provisional

Season APEX 20.9Event APEX -22.8Rank 37Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4027, 8011, 2875

/ 100 compat

Projected

352.1 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 4027, 8011, 2875

Auto

72.2 21%

Teleop

186.3 55%

Endgame

82.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8739, 9642, 335

/ 100 compat

Projected

5.8 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 8739, 9642, 335

Auto

12.8 100%

Teleop

-3.9 0%

Endgame

-4.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.7 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score352.1pts

Blue projected score5.8pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 346.3
Score range: -29–387
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 433 vs event baseline 192.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

436.9Season APEX174.3

72.2Auto12.8

186.3Teleop-3.9

82.8Endgame-4.6

26Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	119	13
teleop	231	7
endgame	46	2
foul	15	0
total	411	22

Result

Final score

411 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 37.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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