Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

329.85 – 148.37

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

288 – 264

Prediction correct · off by 78.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 616.2 ±11.7

1156Under Control

Season APEX 256Event APEX 240.79Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7551Extreme Mechanism

Season APEX 179Event APEX 36.87Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

334TechKnights

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 52.19Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 292.7 ±14.5

3950RoboGym Robotics

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 88.22Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3193Falco Tech

Season APEX 88Event APEX 25.77Rank 32Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9030Qarabagh MecHack

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 34.38Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1156, 7551, 334

/ 100 compat

Projected

329.8 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 1156, 7551, 334

Auto

68.3 21%

Teleop

178.4 55%

Endgame

78.6 24%

Strengths

· 1156 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3950, 3193, 9030

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.4 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 3950, 3193, 9030

Auto

30.2 21%

Teleop

76.1 53%

Endgame

36.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.47 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score329.8pts

Blue projected score148.4pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 181.5
Score range: 114–364
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 552 vs event baseline 191.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

616.2Season APEX292.7

68.3Auto30.2

178.4Teleop76.1

78.6Endgame36.4

12Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	84	52
teleop	161	135
endgame	43	57
foul	0	20
total	288	264

Result

Final score

288 – 264

Prediction correct · off by 78.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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