Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

110.83 – 313.79

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

87 – 288

Prediction correct · off by 24.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 221.7 ±13.9

6348PrepaTec - HORUS

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 17.61Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4571Rambots

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 20.4Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

358Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 72.82Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 549.7 ±12.2

7551Extreme Mechanism

Season APEX 179Event APEX 41.24Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4027Centre Punch

Season APEX 202.6Event APEX 166.82Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7840EMONER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 168.1Event APEX 105.73Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6348, 4571, 358

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.8 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 6348, 4571, 358

Auto

25.0 23%

Teleop

45.8 42%

Endgame

39.3 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7551, 4027, 7840

/ 100 compat

Projected

313.8 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 7551, 4027, 7840

Auto

65.8 22%

Teleop

169.2 55%

Endgame

70.2 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.72 · Blue 2.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score110.8pts

Blue projected score313.8pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -203
Score range: 73–352
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 375 vs event baseline 213.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

221.7Season APEX549.7

25Auto65.8

45.8Teleop169.2

39.3Endgame70.2

7Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	57
teleop	45	165
endgame	33	66
foul	0	0
total	87	288

Result

Final score

87 – 288

Prediction correct · off by 24.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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