Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

139.5 – 141.14

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

132 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 22.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 292.5 ±15.6

6880Universal Serial Brawlers (USB)

Provisional

Season APEX 76.9Event APEX 18.82Rank 27Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3158PrepaTec - TECBOT

Season APEX 153.1Event APEX 97.96Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6348PrepaTec - HORUS

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 22.72Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 314.8 ±16.2

6024R Factor

Season APEX 58Event APEX -11.02Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

10045Casque Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 37.6Event APEX -0.54Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8393The Giant Diencephalic BrainSTEM Robotics Team

Season APEX 219.2Event APEX 152.7Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6880, 3158, 6348

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.5 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6880, 3158, 6348

Auto

23.6 16%

Teleop

71.1 49%

Endgame

49.2 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6024, 10045, 8393

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.1 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6024, 10045, 8393

Auto

20.6 16%

Teleop

85.4 65%

Endgame

24.9 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score139.5pts

Blue projected score141.1pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -1.6
Score range: 105–176
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 311 vs event baseline 191.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

292.5Season APEX314.8

23.6Auto20.6

71.1Teleop85.4

49.2Endgame24.9

35Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	45
teleop	62	112
endgame	37	22
foul	10	0
total	132	179

Result

Final score

132 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 22.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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