Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

265.26 – 160.84

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

268 – 107

Prediction correct · off by 28.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 552 ±11

8267Riptide Robotics 8267

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 153.3Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4122Ossining OBOTS

Season APEX 233.2Event APEX 92.08Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9642I.N.T. Robotics

Season APEX 94Event APEX 19.88Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 378.7 ±13.5

358Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 71.6Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1880Warriors of East Harlem

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 67.85Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2869Regal Eagles

Season APEX 89Event APEX 21.39Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8267, 4122, 9642

/ 100 compat

Projected

265.3 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 8267, 4122, 9642

Auto

54.9 21%

Teleop

150.9 59%

Endgame

51.5 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 358, 1880, 2869

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.8 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 358, 1880, 2869

Auto

26.2 17%

Teleop

88.4 57%

Endgame

41.1 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.26 · Blue 1.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score265.3pts

Blue projected score160.8pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 104.4
Score range: 126–300
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 375 vs event baseline 194.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

552Season APEX378.7

54.9Auto26.2

150.9Teleop88.4

51.5Endgame41.1

25Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	21
teleop	124	54
endgame	55	32
foul	15	0
total	268	107

Result

Final score

268 – 107

Prediction correct · off by 28.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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