Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

248.33 – 85.77

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

261 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 36.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 495.4 ±12.2

7551Extreme Mechanism

Season APEX 179Event APEX 35.33Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

8393The Giant Diencephalic BrainSTEM Robotics Team

Season APEX 219.2Event APEX 149.52Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10262Bionic Buzzers

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 63.48Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 228.2 ±16.5

2265Fe Maidens

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 55.58Rank 26Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7272Envirobots

Provisional

Season APEX 46Event APEX -18.84Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2875CyberHawks

Season APEX 87Event APEX 49.03Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7551, 8393, 10262

/ 100 compat

Projected

248.3 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 7551, 8393, 10262

Auto

32.4 14%

Teleop

138.7 59%

Endgame

64.9 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2265, 7272, 2875

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.8 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2265, 7272, 2875

Auto

32.0 37%

Teleop

40.3 47%

Endgame

13.7 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score248.3pts

Blue projected score85.8pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 162.6
Score range: 51–283
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 408 vs event baseline 193.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

495.4Season APEX228.2

32.4Auto32

138.7Teleop40.3

64.9Endgame13.7

0Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	33
teleop	167	87
endgame	40	22
foul	0	5
total	261	147

Result

Final score

261 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 36.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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