Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

32.83 – 95.45

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

34 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 60.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 127.6 ±19.2

4571Rambots

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 26.89Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

10390GOOGIRL

Provisional

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 13.43Rank 36Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

335Skillz Tech Gear Botz

Provisional

Season APEX 20.9Event APEX -7.49Rank 37Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 446.3 ±12.9

4122Ossining OBOTS

Season APEX 233.2Event APEX 78.55Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2869Regal Eagles

Season APEX 89Event APEX 9.04Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3646INTEGRA BAHCESEHIR

Season APEX 124.1Event APEX 7.86Rank 34Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4571, 10390, 335

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.8 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 4571, 10390, 335

Auto

17.6 53%

Teleop

-1.3 0%

Endgame

16.8 51%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4122, 2869, 3646

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.5 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 4122, 2869, 3646

Auto

23.3 25%

Teleop

60.2 66%

Endgame

8.4 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.18 · Blue 2.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score32.8pts

Blue projected score95.5pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -62.6
Score range: -2–130
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 249 vs event baseline 192.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

127.6Season APEX446.3

17.6Auto23.3

-1.3Teleop60.2

16.8Endgame8.4

0Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	36
teleop	8	134
endgame	6	45
foul	10	0
total	34	215

Result

Final score

34 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 60.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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