Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

272.97 – 177.38

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

298 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 21.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 574.1 ±15.3

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 215.93Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7551Extreme Mechanism

Season APEX 179Event APEX 32.25Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6402GÖKTÜRKLER

Provisional

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 24.79Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 333.4 ±18

6880Universal Serial Brawlers (USB)

Provisional

Season APEX 76.9Event APEX 22.34Rank 27Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8393The Giant Diencephalic BrainSTEM Robotics Team

Season APEX 219.2Event APEX 152.83Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11313tROBOmakEr

Provisional

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 2.21Rank 39Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1796, 7551, 6402

/ 100 compat

Projected

273 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1796, 7551, 6402

Auto

41.0 15%

Teleop

164.3 61%

Endgame

65.0 24%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6880, 8393, 11313

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.4 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 6880, 8393, 11313

Auto

43.7 25%

Teleop

94.6 54%

Endgame

36.8 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.13 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score273pts

Blue projected score177.4pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 95.6
Score range: 143–307
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 457 vs event baseline 191.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

574.1Season APEX333.4

41Auto43.7

164.3Teleop94.6

65Endgame36.8

7Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	35
teleop	177	85
endgame	72	34
foul	0	5
total	298	159

Result

Final score

298 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 21.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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