Qualification · Qualification 48
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
184.56 – 192.86
47%53%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
179 – 173
Prediction missed · off by 12.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 319.9 ±15.6
Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 63.4Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 98.13Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
3760Robo Raccoons
Provisional
Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 23.03Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 311.1 ±15.1
Season APEX 202.6Event APEX 184.24Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 22.12Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
7272Envirobots
Provisional
Season APEX 46Event APEX -13.5Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1880, 3950, 3760
64
/ 100 compatProjected
184.6 pts
~1.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 1880, 3950, 3760
Auto
39.6 25%
Teleop
82.0 51%
Endgame
40.0 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4027, 6348, 7272
64
/ 100 compatProjected
192.9 pts
~1.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 4027, 6348, 7272
Auto
50.5 26%
Teleop
110.0 57%
Endgame
32.1 17%
Strengths
- · 4027 anchors offense
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.67
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score184.6pts
Blue projected score192.9pts
Red win probability47%
Event bonus sample160alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -8.3
- Score range
- 151–227
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
319.9Season APEX311.1
39.6Auto50.5
82Teleop110
40Endgame32.1
31Consistency98
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 39 | 38 |
| teleop | 107 | 70 |
| endgame | 33 | 65 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 179 | 173 |
Result
Final score
179 – 173
Prediction missed · off by 12.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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