Qualification · Qualification 44
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 159.97
9%91%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
16 – 126
Prediction correct · off by 25 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 141.4 ±16.6
Season APEX 58Event APEX -27.57Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88
335Skillz Tech Gear Botz
Provisional
Season APEX 20.9Event APEX -8.92Rank 37Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 13.62Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 260.7 ±16.5
Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 101.21Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
7272Envirobots
Provisional
Season APEX 46Event APEX -8.08Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 66.84Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6024, 335, 6348
8
/ 100 compatProjected
-22.9 pts
~0.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 6024, 335, 6348
Auto
-9.0 35%
Teleop
-1.6 6%
Endgame
-14.9 58%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3950, 7272, 358
59
/ 100 compatProjected
160 pts
~2.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 3950, 7272, 358
Auto
48.3 31%
Teleop
74.0 47%
Endgame
33.8 22%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.66 · Blue 2.52
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score-22.9pts
Blue projected score160pts
Red win probability9%
Event bonus sample160alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 65%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -160
- Score range
- -34–194
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
141.4Season APEX260.7
-9Auto48.3
-1.6Teleop74
-14.9Endgame33.8
100Consistency85
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 51 |
| teleop | 6 | 59 |
| endgame | 1 | 6 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 16 | 126 |
Result
Final score
16 – 126
Prediction correct · off by 25 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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