Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

111.41 – 203.55

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

198 – 238

Prediction correct · off by 60.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 317.3 ±15.6

6402GÖKTÜRKLER

Provisional

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 15.68Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6911SO BOTZ

Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 56.05Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

516StuyPlus

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 39.68Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 362.6 ±13.5

8011Wayi Guangzhou

Season APEX 147.3Event APEX 120.91Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1880Warriors of East Harlem

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 55.24Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4571Rambots

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 27.4Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6402, 6911, 516

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.4 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 6402, 6911, 516

Auto

31.6 29%

Teleop

70.7 65%

Endgame

6.4 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8011, 1880, 4571

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.6 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 8011, 1880, 4571

Auto

54.5 28%

Teleop

99.3 50%

Endgame

44.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.09 · Blue 2.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score111.4pts

Blue projected score203.6pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -92.1
Score range: 77–238
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 436 vs event baseline 188.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

317.3Season APEX362.6

31.6Auto54.5

70.7Teleop99.3

6.4Endgame44.2

13Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	49
teleop	110	138
endgame	60	51
foul	0	0
total	198	238

Result

Final score

198 – 238

Prediction correct · off by 60.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.