Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

511.62 – 165.48

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

572 – 214

Prediction correct · off by 54.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 750.7 ±9.8

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 196.4Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4027Centre Punch

Season APEX 202.6Event APEX 174.92Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8267Riptide Robotics 8267

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 140.3Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 423.6 ±15.1

3158PrepaTec - TECBOT

Season APEX 153.1Event APEX 93.01Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11313tROBOmakEr

Provisional

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX -1.79Rank 39Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4122Ossining OBOTS

Season APEX 233.2Event APEX 74.26Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 694, 4027, 8267

/ 100 compat

Projected

511.6 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 694, 4027, 8267

Auto

80.0 16%

Teleop

307.0 61%

Endgame

118.9 24%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3158, 11313, 4122

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.5 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 3158, 11313, 4122

Auto

28.6 18%

Teleop

92.3 59%

Endgame

34.5 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.72 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score511.6pts

Blue projected score165.5pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 346.1
Score range: 132–545
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 786 vs event baseline 183.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

750.7Season APEX423.6

80Auto28.6

307Teleop92.3

118.9Endgame34.5

39Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	120	47
teleop	324	103
endgame	113	64
foul	15	0
total	572	214

Result

Final score

572 – 214

Prediction correct · off by 54.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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