Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

213.14 – 273.02

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

247 – 405

Prediction correct · off by 82.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 464.8 ±11.7

8393The Giant Diencephalic BrainSTEM Robotics Team

Season APEX 219.2Event APEX 141.91Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6911SO BOTZ

Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 47.99Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8739Redhawk Robotics

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 23.24Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 538.4 ±12.4

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 202.91Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

516StuyPlus

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 22.56Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

358Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 47.55Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8393, 6911, 8739

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.1 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 8393, 6911, 8739

Auto

40.0 18%

Teleop

139.5 64%

Endgame

37.4 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1796, 516, 358

/ 100 compat

Projected

273 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1796, 516, 358

Auto

44.0 17%

Teleop

158.7 60%

Endgame

61.4 23%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.34 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score213.1pts

Blue projected score273pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -59.9
Score range: 180–306
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 652 vs event baseline 182.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

464.8Season APEX538.4

40Auto44

139.5Teleop158.7

37.4Endgame61.4

11Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	80
teleop	101	234
endgame	75	86
foul	10	5
total	247	405

Result

Final score

247 – 405

Prediction correct · off by 82.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.