Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.64 – 271.67

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

82 – 357

Prediction correct · off by 63.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 255.3 ±15.6

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 50.56Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7272Envirobots

Provisional

Season APEX 46Event APEX -11.41Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3193Falco Tech

Season APEX 88Event APEX 0.49Rank 32Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 540.7 ±14.8

7840EMONER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 168.1Event APEX 71.82Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 176.26Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7636Robomania

Provisional

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 23.59Rank 38Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1155, 7272, 3193

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.6 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 1155, 7272, 3193

Auto

4.9 13%

Teleop

10.9 28%

Endgame

23.2 59%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7840, 694, 7636

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.7 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 7840, 694, 7636

Auto

30.4 11%

Teleop

178.0 64%

Endgame

70.3 25%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.6 · Blue 2.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score39.6pts

Blue projected score271.7pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -232
Score range: 8–304
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 439 vs event baseline 176.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

255.3Season APEX540.7

4.9Auto30.4

10.9Teleop178

23.2Endgame70.3

80Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	100
teleop	38	184
endgame	29	73
foul	0	0
total	82	357

Result

Final score

82 – 357

Prediction correct · off by 63.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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