Qualification · Qualification 35
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
2.55 – 85.11
26%74%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
116 – 109
Prediction missed · off by 68.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 213.3 ±17
Season APEX 89Event APEX -15.47Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Season APEX 87Event APEX 22.62Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94
11313tROBOmakEr
Provisional
Season APEX 37.3Event APEX -4.6Rank 39Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 335.5 ±12.7
Season APEX 94Event APEX 29.62Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 8.68Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 179Event APEX 46.81Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2869, 2875, 11313
5
/ 100 compatProjected
2.6 pts
~1.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 2869, 2875, 11313
Auto
15.2 100%
Teleop
-24.9 0%
Endgame
14.2 100%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9642, 6348, 7551
38
/ 100 compatProjected
85.1 pts
~2.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 9642, 6348, 7551
Auto
11.5 14%
Teleop
51.2 64%
Endgame
16.9 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.17 · Blue 2.02
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score2.6pts
Blue projected score85.1pts
Red win probability26%
Event bonus sample160alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -82.6
- Score range
- -29–117
- Upset likelihood
- 26%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
213.3Season APEX335.5
15.2Auto11.5
-24.9Teleop51.2
14.2Endgame16.9
97Consistency61
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 23 |
| teleop | 76 | 54 |
| endgame | 13 | 32 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 116 | 109 |
Result
Final score
116 – 109
Prediction missed · off by 68.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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