Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

79.95 – 145.63

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

177 – 243

Prediction correct · off by 97.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 349.1 ±12.7

2875CyberHawks

Season APEX 87Event APEX 2.35Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

7840EMONER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 168.1Event APEX 74.02Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9642I.N.T. Robotics

Season APEX 94Event APEX 3.58Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 383.4 ±15.6

4122Ossining OBOTS

Season APEX 233.2Event APEX 47.66Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3950RoboGym Robotics

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 111.25Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6402GÖKTÜRKLER

Provisional

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX -13.28Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2875, 7840, 9642

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.9 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 2875, 7840, 9642

Auto

16.7 21%

Teleop

54.8 69%

Endgame

7.6 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4122, 3950, 6402

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.6 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 4122, 3950, 6402

Auto

24.6 18%

Teleop

82.7 61%

Endgame

28.7 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.31 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score79.9pts

Blue projected score145.6pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -65.7
Score range: 48–178
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 420 vs event baseline 177.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

349.1Season APEX383.4

16.7Auto24.6

54.8Teleop82.7

7.6Endgame28.7

52Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	64
teleop	87	134
endgame	51	30
foul	0	15
total	177	243

Result

Final score

177 – 243

Prediction correct · off by 97.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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