Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

194.1 – 13.46

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

288 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 76.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 457.3 ±11.7

358Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 65.36Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 30.42Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8393The Giant Diencephalic BrainSTEM Robotics Team

Season APEX 219.2Event APEX 98.32Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 269.6 ±16.6

334TechKnights

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 11.19Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4571Rambots

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 27.44Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

7272Envirobots

Provisional

Season APEX 46Event APEX -25.17Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 358, 1155, 8393

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.1 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 358, 1155, 8393

Auto

21.4 11%

Teleop

111.4 59%

Endgame

55.0 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 334, 4571, 7272

/ 100 compat

Projected

13.5 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 334, 4571, 7272

Auto

12.3 56%

Teleop

7.4 33%

Endgame

2.4 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score194.1pts

Blue projected score13.5pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 180.6
Score range: -19–226
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 361 vs event baseline 180.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

457.3Season APEX269.6

21.4Auto12.3

111.4Teleop7.4

55Endgame2.4

7Consistency128

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	23
teleop	172	29
endgame	70	21
foul	0	0
total	288	73

Result

Final score

288 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 76.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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