Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

101.15 – 220.45

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

80 – 307

Prediction correct · off by 53.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 315.3 ±16.5

2875CyberHawks

Season APEX 87Event APEX 8.41Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

7636Robomania

Provisional

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 23.82Rank 38Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7551Extreme Mechanism

Season APEX 179Event APEX 68.92Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 742.7 ±9.8

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 134.51Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4122Ossining OBOTS

Season APEX 233.2Event APEX 46.36Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6911SO BOTZ

Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 39.58Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2875, 7636, 7551

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.2 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2875, 7636, 7551

Auto

5.1 4%

Teleop

47.2 41%

Endgame

62.5 54%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 694, 4122, 6911

/ 100 compat

Projected

220.5 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 694, 4122, 6911

Auto

8.2 4%

Teleop

153.4 72%

Endgame

52.7 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.93 · Blue 2.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score101.2pts

Blue projected score220.5pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -119.3
Score range: 69–252
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 387 vs event baseline 179.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

315.3Season APEX742.7

5.1Auto8.2

47.2Teleop153.4

62.5Endgame52.7

57Consistency149

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	36
teleop	37	205
endgame	24	66
foul	0	0
total	80	307

Result

Final score

80 – 307

Prediction correct · off by 53.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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