Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

269.98 – 276.79

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

295 – 400

Prediction correct · off by 74.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 449.8 ±14.3

1880Warriors of East Harlem

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 43.37Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

335Skillz Tech Gear Botz

Provisional

Season APEX 20.9Event APEX -8.42Rank 37Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1156Under Control

Season APEX 256Event APEX 235.03Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 545 ±14.8

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 165.65Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3158PrepaTec - TECBOT

Season APEX 153.1Event APEX 73.81Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3760Robo Raccoons

Provisional

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 37.33Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1880, 335, 1156

/ 100 compat

Projected

270 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 1880, 335, 1156

Auto

41.0 16%

Teleop

153.2 59%

Endgame

67.2 26%

Strengths

· 1156 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1796, 3158, 3760

/ 100 compat

Projected

276.8 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1796, 3158, 3760

Auto

32.1 12%

Teleop

174.0 64%

Endgame

64.4 24%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.61 · Blue 1.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score270pts

Blue projected score276.8pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6.8
Score range: 239–308
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 695 vs event baseline 172.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

449.8Season APEX545

41Auto32.1

153.2Teleop174

67.2Endgame64.4

32Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	72	70
teleop	141	179
endgame	77	116
foul	5	35
total	295	400

Result

Final score

295 – 400

Prediction correct · off by 74.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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