Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

171.63 – 184.21

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

69 – 272

Prediction correct · off by 95.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 359.4 ±15.1

6911SO BOTZ

Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 91.32Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3760Robo Raccoons

Provisional

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 60.23Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3646INTEGRA BAHCESEHIR

Season APEX 124.1Event APEX 20.08Rank 34Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 494.2 ±14.8

6880Universal Serial Brawlers (USB)

Provisional

Season APEX 76.9Event APEX 74.55Rank 27Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9642I.N.T. Robotics

Season APEX 94Event APEX -11.41Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 121.07Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6911, 3760, 3646

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.6 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6911, 3760, 3646

Auto

20.1 12%

Teleop

113.9 70%

Endgame

29.5 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6880, 9642, 694

/ 100 compat

Projected

184.2 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6880, 9642, 694

Auto

42.9 24%

Teleop

124.5 69%

Endgame

13.9 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score171.6pts

Blue projected score184.2pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -12.6
Score range: 141–215
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 341 vs event baseline 173.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

359.4Season APEX494.2

20.1Auto42.9

113.9Teleop124.5

29.5Endgame13.9

11Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	25
teleop	41	179
endgame	4	63
foul	10	5
total	69	272

Result

Final score

69 – 272

Prediction correct · off by 95.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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