Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

96.21 – 106.01

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

104 – 69

Prediction missed · off by 22.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 356.1 ±18

7272Envirobots

Provisional

Season APEX 46Event APEX -0.96Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6880Universal Serial Brawlers (USB)

Provisional

Season APEX 76.9Event APEX 12.61Rank 27Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4122Ossining OBOTS

Season APEX 233.2Event APEX 84.56Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 259.5 ±12.8

8739Redhawk Robotics

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 14.77Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 54.78Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

516StuyPlus

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 36.46Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7272, 6880, 4122

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.2 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 7272, 6880, 4122

Auto

26.6 29%

Teleop

49.2 54%

Endgame

15.3 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8739, 1155, 516

/ 100 compat

Projected

106 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 8739, 1155, 516

Auto

8.5 8%

Teleop

65.5 59%

Endgame

37.7 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.68 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score96.2pts

Blue projected score106pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -9.8
Score range: 58–144
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 173 vs event baseline 213.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

356.1Season APEX259.5

26.6Auto8.5

49.2Teleop65.5

15.3Endgame37.7

50Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	12
teleop	72	50
endgame	8	7
foul	0	0
total	104	69

Result

Final score

104 – 69

Prediction missed · off by 22.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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