Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

128.62 – 293.35

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

128 – 76

Prediction missed · off by 109 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 443.7 ±12.9

4122Ossining OBOTS

Season APEX 233.2Event APEX 47.95Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7840EMONER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 168.1Event APEX 66.88Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4571Rambots

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 13.79Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 487.8 ±13

6024R Factor

Season APEX 58Event APEX 7.21Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

2875CyberHawks

Season APEX 87Event APEX 52.6Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 233.54Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4122, 7840, 4571

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.6 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 4122, 7840, 4571

Auto

19.6 16%

Teleop

88.1 71%

Endgame

15.9 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6024, 2875, 1796

/ 100 compat

Projected

293.4 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6024, 2875, 1796

Auto

9.7 3%

Teleop

196.4 67%

Endgame

87.4 30%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.98 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score128.6pts

Blue projected score293.4pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -164.7
Score range: 97–325
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 204 vs event baseline 177.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

443.7Season APEX487.8

19.6Auto9.7

88.1Teleop196.4

15.9Endgame87.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	16
teleop	64	36
endgame	27	24
foul	0	0
total	128	76

Result

Final score

128 – 76

Prediction missed · off by 109 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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