Qualification · Qualification 18
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
197.98 – 65.69
84%16%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
63 – 181
Prediction missed · off by 125.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 239.4 ±15.1
Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 68.27Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 69.94Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
335Skillz Tech Gear Botz
Provisional
Season APEX 20.9Event APEX 59.77Rank 37Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 339.6 ±15.1
Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 87.73Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
6402GÖKTÜRKLER
Provisional
Season APEX 52.3Event APEX -10.13Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 62.5Event APEX -11.91Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1155, 10262, 335
64
/ 100 compatProjected
198 pts
~2.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 1155, 10262, 335
Auto
12.7 7%
Teleop
145.0 75%
Endgame
34.4 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8267, 6402, 6348
37
/ 100 compatProjected
65.7 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 8267, 6402, 6348
Auto
7.3 11%
Teleop
29.8 45%
Endgame
29.6 44%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.18 · Blue 0.85
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score198pts
Blue projected score65.7pts
Red win probability84%
Event bonus sample160alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 132.3
- Score range
- 33–231
- Upset likelihood
- 16%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
239.4Season APEX339.6
12.7Auto7.3
145Teleop29.8
34.4Endgame29.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 16 |
| teleop | 36 | 115 |
| endgame | 10 | 50 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 63 | 181 |
Result
Final score
63 – 181
Prediction missed · off by 125.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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