Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105.88 – 124.67

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

88 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 18.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 259.3 ±16

11313tROBOmakEr

Provisional

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 20.74Rank 39Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3646INTEGRA BAHCESEHIR

Season APEX 124.1Event APEX -5.62Rank 34Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3950RoboGym Robotics

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 90.76Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281.7 ±16.5

358Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 74.37Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

3193Falco Tech

Season APEX 88Event APEX -30.9Rank 32Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6880Universal Serial Brawlers (USB)

Provisional

Season APEX 76.9Event APEX 81.2Rank 27Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11313, 3646, 3950

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.9 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 11313, 3646, 3950

Auto

28.5 27%

Teleop

69.2 65%

Endgame

8.7 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 358, 3193, 6880

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.7 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 358, 3193, 6880

Auto

29.5 24%

Teleop

63.1 52%

Endgame

29.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score105.9pts

Blue projected score124.7pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -18.8
Score range: 72–159
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 193 vs event baseline 189.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

259.3Season APEX281.7

28.5Auto29.5

69.2Teleop63.1

8.7Endgame29.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	15
teleop	26	48
endgame	9	42
foul	0	0
total	88	105

Result

Final score

88 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 18.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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