Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

142.29 – 87.86

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

218 – 343

Prediction missed · off by 165.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 413.8 ±15.1

335Skillz Tech Gear Botz

Provisional

Season APEX 20.9Event APEX 28.59Rank 37Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8267Riptide Robotics 8267

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 48.11Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7840EMONER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 168.1Event APEX 65.59Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 551.4 ±15.3

3760Robo Raccoons

Provisional

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX -26.42Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 48.69Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7551Extreme Mechanism

Season APEX 179Event APEX 65.59Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 335, 8267, 7840

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.3 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 335, 8267, 7840

Auto

15.3 10%

Teleop

90.0 60%

Endgame

43.7 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3760, 694, 7551

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.9 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 3760, 694, 7551

Auto

27.2 33%

Teleop

45.1 55%

Endgame

9.8 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score142.3pts

Blue projected score87.9pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54.4
Score range: 55–175
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 561 vs event baseline 181.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

413.8Season APEX551.4

15.3Auto27.2

90Teleop45.1

43.7Endgame9.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	27
teleop	135	200
endgame	50	101
foul	0	15
total	218	343

Result

Final score

218 – 343

Prediction missed · off by 165.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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