Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
299.97 – 150.57
87%13%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
151 – 13
Prediction correct · off by 143.3 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 348.9 ±14.5
Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 141.96Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 153.1Event APEX 126.57Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 89Event APEX 31.44Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 195.5 ±18.4
7272Envirobots
Provisional
Season APEX 46Event APEX 11.38Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
6402GÖKTÜRKLER
Provisional
Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 12.62Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 126.57Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9030, 3158, 2869
86
/ 100 compatProjected
300 pts
~2.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 9030, 3158, 2869
Auto
34.0 11%
Teleop
189.4 64%
Endgame
74.3 25%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7272, 6402, 10262
55
/ 100 compatProjected
150.6 pts
~0.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 7272, 6402, 10262
Auto
15.3 10%
Teleop
107.7 70%
Endgame
30.2 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.54 · Blue 0.87
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score300pts
Blue projected score150.6pts
Red win probability87%
Event bonus sample160alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 149.4
- Score range
- 118–333
- Upset likelihood
- 13%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
348.9Season APEX195.5
34Auto15.3
189.4Teleop107.7
74.3Endgame30.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 7 |
| teleop | 78 | 6 |
| endgame | 49 | 0 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 151 | 13 |
Result
Final score
151 – 13
Prediction correct · off by 143.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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