Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

23.77 – 55.6

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

28 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 22.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 161.2 ±18.8

335Skillz Tech Gear Botz

Provisional

Season APEX 20.9Event APEX -23.29Rank 37Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6402GÖKTÜRKLER

Provisional

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 17.88Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3193Falco Tech

Season APEX 88Event APEX 29.18Rank 32Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 202.5 ±17

7636Robomania

Provisional

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 12.44Rank 38Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6024R Factor

Season APEX 58Event APEX -7.89Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

2265Fe Maidens

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 51.05Rank 26Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 335, 6402, 3193

/ 100 compat

Projected

23.8 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 335, 6402, 3193

Auto

6.4 31%

Teleop

5.2 25%

Endgame

9.1 44%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7636, 6024, 2265

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.6 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 7636, 6024, 2265

Auto

19.1 34%

Teleop

37.1 66%

Endgame

-0.4 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score23.8pts

Blue projected score55.6pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -31.8
Score range: -14–94
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 125 vs event baseline 213.5.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

161.2Season APEX202.5

6.4Auto19.1

5.2Teleop37.1

9.1Endgame-0.4

11Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	16
teleop	19	63
endgame	9	13
foul	0	5
total	28	97

Result

Final score

28 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 22.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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