Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

512.05 – 370.51

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

569 – 471

Prediction correct · off by 78.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 720.1 ±9.3

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 52.06Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 222.11Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1156Under Control

Season APEX 256Event APEX 237.88Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 588.4 ±10.5

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 193.21Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6348PrepaTec - HORUS

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 13.47Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4027Centre Punch

Season APEX 202.6Event APEX 163.83Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1155, 1796, 1156

/ 100 compat

Projected

512.1 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 1155, 1796, 1156

Auto

97.4 19%

Teleop

296.7 58%

Endgame

113.7 22%

Strengths

· 1156 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 694, 6348, 4027

/ 100 compat

Projected

370.5 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 694, 6348, 4027

Auto

76.6 21%

Teleop

198.0 54%

Endgame

89.8 25%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score512.1pts

Blue projected score370.5pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 141.5
Score range: 333–550
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1040 vs event baseline 209.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

720.1Season APEX588.4

97.4Auto76.6

296.7Teleop198

113.7Endgame89.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	102	76
teleop	328	256
endgame	139	139
foul	0	0
total	569	471

Result

Final score

569 – 471

Prediction correct · off by 78.7 pts

Match videos

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