Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

493.33 – 365.81

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

626 – 409

Prediction correct · off by 87.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 720.1 ±9.3

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 45.75Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 215.46Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1156Under Control

Season APEX 256Event APEX 232.12Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 588.4 ±10.5

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 192.05Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6348PrepaTec - HORUS

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 10.75Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4027Centre Punch

Season APEX 202.6Event APEX 163.01Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1155, 1796, 1156

/ 100 compat

Projected

493.3 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1155, 1796, 1156

Auto

94.6 19%

Teleop

287.8 59%

Endgame

106.1 22%

Strengths

· 1156 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 694, 6348, 4027

/ 100 compat

Projected

365.8 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 694, 6348, 4027

Auto

73.7 20%

Teleop

198.2 55%

Endgame

88.9 25%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.32 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score493.3pts

Blue projected score365.8pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample160alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 127.5
Score range: 329–530
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1035 vs event baseline 205.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

720.1Season APEX588.4

94.6Auto73.7

287.8Teleop198.2

106.1Endgame88.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	115	98
teleop	351	198
endgame	160	98
foul	0	15
total	626	409

Result

Final score

626 – 409

Prediction correct · off by 87.9 pts

Match videos

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