Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

390.18 – 187.66

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

403 – 242

Prediction correct · off by 33.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 805.9 ±11.7

9646The Marinators

Season APEX 232.4Event APEX 12Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

870TEAM R. I. C. E.

Season APEX 291.3Event APEX 117.05Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5736Kingsmen Robotics

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 261.13Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 406.7 ±15.3

2872CyberCats

Season APEX 180.6Event APEX 76.08Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

871Robotechs

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 27.02Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

263Aftershock

Season APEX 175.6Event APEX 84.56Rank 12Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9646, 870, 5736

/ 100 compat

Projected

390.2 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9646, 870, 5736

Auto

98.4 26%

Teleop

201.3 54%

Endgame

74.7 20%

Strengths

· 5736 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2872, 871, 263

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.7 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 2872, 871, 263

Auto

35.3 19%

Teleop

112.7 62%

Endgame

34.9 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.38 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score390.2pts

Blue projected score187.7pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 202.5
Score range: 165–413
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 645 vs event baseline 127.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

805.9Season APEX406.7

98.4Auto35.3

201.3Teleop112.7

74.7Endgame34.9

0Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	56
teleop	234	110
endgame	105	76
foul	5	0
total	403	242

Result

Final score

403 – 242

Prediction correct · off by 33.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.