Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

50.93 – 50.93

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

91 – 142

Prediction missed · off by 65.6 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 278.7 ±19.3

8267Riptide Robotics 8267

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX -Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

884Mechanical Mules

Provisional

Season APEX 24.3Event APEX -Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

514Entropy

Provisional

Season APEX 29.6Event APEX -Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 305.2 ±19.3

545ROBO-DAWGS

Provisional

Season APEX 38.8Event APEX -Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2638Rebel Robotics

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX -Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

569Rambots 569

Provisional

Season APEX 52Event APEX -Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8267, 884, 514

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.9 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 8267, 884, 514

Auto

15.3 30%

Teleop

25.5 50%

Endgame

10.2 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 545, 2638, 569

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.9 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 545, 2638, 569

Auto

15.3 30%

Teleop

25.5 50%

Endgame

10.2 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score50.9pts

Blue projected score50.9pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 33–69
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 233 vs event baseline 101.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

278.7Season APEX305.2

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	36
teleop	32	66
endgame	31	35
foul	0	5
total	91	142

Result

Final score

91 – 142

Prediction missed · off by 65.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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