Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

122.43 – 171.96

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

98 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 60.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 210.8 ±20

1546Chaos, Inc.

Provisional

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 49.22Rank 14Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

1803Vikings

Provisional

Season APEX 74.7Event APEX 27.06Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9016Syosset SuperSonics

Season APEX 76.7Event APEX 46.15Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 567.9 ±11.7

2638Rebel Robotics

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 54.62Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1880Warriors of East Harlem

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 51.58Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2872CyberCats

Season APEX 180.6Event APEX 65.76Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1546, 1803, 9016

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.4 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1546, 1803, 9016

Auto

35.4 30%

Teleop

55.6 48%

Endgame

25.1 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2638, 1880, 2872

/ 100 compat

Projected

172 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2638, 1880, 2872

Auto

50.1 31%

Teleop

100.9 63%

Endgame

9.8 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.11 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score122.4pts

Blue projected score172pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -49.5
Score range: 100–194
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 366 vs event baseline 124.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

210.8Season APEX567.9

35.4Auto50.1

55.6Teleop100.9

25.1Endgame9.8

19Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	44
teleop	42	173
endgame	27	51
foul	5	0
total	98	268

Result

Final score

98 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 60.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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