Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

55 – 55

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 55

Prediction missed · off by 2 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 260.2 ±14.5

2875CyberHawks

Season APEX 87Event APEX -Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

533The PSIcotics

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX -Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

806The Brooklyn Blacksmiths

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX -Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 364.2 ±20

9646The Marinators

Season APEX 232.4Event APEX -Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2347Trial and Error

Provisional

Season APEX 72.4Event APEX -Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

1546Chaos, Inc.

Provisional

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX -Rank 14Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2875, 533, 806

/ 100 compat

Projected

55 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 2875, 533, 806

Auto

16.5 30%

Teleop

27.5 50%

Endgame

11.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9646, 2347, 1546

/ 100 compat

Projected

55 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9646, 2347, 1546

Auto

16.5 30%

Teleop

27.5 50%

Endgame

11.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score55pts

Blue projected score55pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 35–75
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 106 vs event baseline 110.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

260.2Season APEX364.2

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	26
teleop	23	20
endgame	16	4
foul	0	5
total	51	55

Result

Final score

51 – 55

Prediction missed · off by 2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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