Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

110.73 – 211.89

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

216 – 100

Prediction missed · off by 108.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 346.1 ±15.4

329Mohawks

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 13.21Rank 25Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

287Floyd Robotics

Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 90.94Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6806Mineola Wild Reds

Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 6.58Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 328.5 ±18.1

3137T-Birds

Provisional

Season APEX 53.2Event APEX 41.83Rank 42Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

871Robotechs

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 44.09Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

8267Riptide Robotics 8267

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 125.97Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 329, 287, 6806

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.7 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 329, 287, 6806

Auto

28.4 28%

Teleop

61.8 60%

Endgame

12.7 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3137, 871, 8267

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.9 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 3137, 871, 8267

Auto

31.2 15%

Teleop

105.1 52%

Endgame

66.1 33%

Strengths

· 8267 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.88 · Blue 1.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score110.7pts

Blue projected score211.9pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -101.2
Score range: 89–234
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 316 vs event baseline 122.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

346.1Season APEX328.5

28.4Auto31.2

61.8Teleop105.1

12.7Endgame66.1

51Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	56
teleop	134	22
endgame	60	17
foul	5	5
total	216	100

Result

Final score

216 – 100

Prediction missed · off by 108.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.