Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

130.02 – 251.65

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

234 – 366

Prediction correct · off by 109.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 401.1 ±15.4

7673Formosan Sika

Season APEX 67.6Event APEX -17.11Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

4458Infernobotix

Season APEX 108.7Event APEX 27.76Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

8267Riptide Robotics 8267

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 119.37Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 403.9 ±18.7

1803Vikings

Provisional

Season APEX 74.7Event APEX 13.74Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

5736Kingsmen Robotics

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 237.85Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2161Robocats

Provisional

Season APEX 47Event APEX 0.06Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7673, 4458, 8267

/ 100 compat

Projected

130 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 7673, 4458, 8267

Auto

11.5 10%

Teleop

61.4 51%

Endgame

46.6 39%

Strengths

· 8267 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1803, 5736, 2161

/ 100 compat

Projected

251.7 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1803, 5736, 2161

Auto

77.1 31%

Teleop

115.9 47%

Endgame

55.4 22%

Strengths

· 5736 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score130pts

Blue projected score251.7pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -121.6
Score range: 108–274
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 600 vs event baseline 120.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

401.1Season APEX403.9

11.5Auto77.1

61.4Teleop115.9

46.6Endgame55.4

87Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	87
teleop	98	186
endgame	81	58
foul	0	35
total	234	366

Result

Final score

234 – 366

Prediction correct · off by 109.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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