Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

157.62 – 163.58

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

202 – 138

Prediction missed · off by 35 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 382.5 ±15.6

1468Hicksville J-Birds

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 50.26Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

28Pierson Whalers

Provisional

Season APEX 53Event APEX 17.53Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

287Floyd Robotics

Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 89.83Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281.5 ±18.2

3624Soaring Colts

Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 47.85Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88

545ROBO-DAWGS

Provisional

Season APEX 38.8Event APEX 26.12Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

810The Mechanical Bulls

Season APEX 130.9Event APEX 89.61Rank 6Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1468, 28, 287

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.6 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 1468, 28, 287

Auto

45.5 35%

Teleop

78.5 61%

Endgame

5.1 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3624, 545, 810

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.6 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 3624, 545, 810

Auto

35.5 25%

Teleop

65.4 46%

Endgame

41.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score157.6pts

Blue projected score163.6pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6
Score range: 136–186
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 340 vs event baseline 120.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

382.5Season APEX281.5

45.5Auto35.5

78.5Teleop65.4

5.1Endgame41.5

35Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	36
teleop	112	68
endgame	41	14
foul	0	20
total	202	138

Result

Final score

202 – 138

Prediction missed · off by 35 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.