Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

97.86 – 100.11

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

148 – 210

Prediction correct · off by 80 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 228.2 ±17.7

533The PSIcotics

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 25.67Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

3137T-Birds

Provisional

Season APEX 53.2Event APEX 40.77Rank 42Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

3950RoboGym Robotics

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 31.42Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.5 ±16.9

2869Regal Eagles

Season APEX 89Event APEX -5.53Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

8267Riptide Robotics 8267

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 103.5Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1803Vikings

Provisional

Season APEX 74.7Event APEX 2.14Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 533, 3137, 3950

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.9 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 533, 3137, 3950

Auto

20.1 23%

Teleop

48.0 55%

Endgame

19.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2869, 8267, 1803

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.1 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 2869, 8267, 1803

Auto

17.5 17%

Teleop

60.3 59%

Endgame

24.9 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.49 · Blue 1.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score97.9pts

Blue projected score100.1pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -2.2
Score range: 77–121
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 358 vs event baseline 118.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

228.2Season APEX388.5

20.1Auto17.5

48Teleop60.3

19.2Endgame24.9

8Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	29
teleop	75	119
endgame	57	62
foul	0	0
total	148	210

Result

Final score

148 – 210

Prediction correct · off by 80 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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