Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 178.23

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 40.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 316.6 ±18.8

569Rambots 569

Provisional

Season APEX 52Event APEX -10.4Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

329Mohawks

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 11.69Rank 25Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9646The Marinators

Season APEX 232.4Event APEX -2.14Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 464.2 ±16.9

870TEAM R. I. C. E.

Season APEX 291.3Event APEX 95.24Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6423Ward Melville Iron Patriots

Season APEX 83Event APEX 46.78Rank 13Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

11030Bonac Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 89.9Event APEX 36.21Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 569, 329, 9646

/ 100 compat

Projected

-0.9 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 569, 329, 9646

Auto

13.9 100%

Teleop

-5.9 0%

Endgame

-5.9 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 870, 6423, 11030

/ 100 compat

Projected

178.2 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 870, 6423, 11030

Auto

17.9 10%

Teleop

100.6 55%

Endgame

64.5 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.54 · Blue 2.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score-0.9pts

Blue projected score178.2pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -178.2
Score range: -21–199
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 259 vs event baseline 118.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

316.6Season APEX464.2

13.9Auto17.9

-5.9Teleop100.6

-5.9Endgame64.5

86Consistency97

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	43
teleop	18	118
endgame	13	57
foul	0	0
total	41	218

Result

Final score

41 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 40.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.