Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

92.79 – 66.75

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

52 – 81

Prediction missed · off by 27.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 290.9 ±15.6

5016Huntington Robotics

Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 26.96Rank 46Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3624Soaring Colts

Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 54.93Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88

564Longwood RoboLions

Season APEX 64.9Event APEX 10.9Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 236.2 ±17.7

6806Mineola Wild Reds

Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 4.47Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86

2027Robotic Dragons

Provisional

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 23.84Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

358Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 38.44Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5016, 3624, 564

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.8 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 5016, 3624, 564

Auto

17.8 27%

Teleop

30.6 47%

Endgame

17.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6806, 2027, 358

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.8 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 6806, 2027, 358

Auto

20.4 40%

Teleop

24.5 48%

Endgame

6.1 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score92.8pts

Blue projected score66.8pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 26
Score range: 45–115
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 133 vs event baseline 121.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

290.9Season APEX236.2

17.8Auto20.4

30.6Teleop24.5

17.3Endgame6.1

40Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	20
teleop	29	50
endgame	7	11
foul	0	0
total	52	81

Result

Final score

52 – 81

Prediction missed · off by 27.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.