Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.72 – 257.9

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

75 – 401

Prediction correct · off by 77.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 156.3 ±18.8

2487Mechanical Animals

Provisional

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 25Rank 45Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2875CyberHawks

Season APEX 87Event APEX 29.59Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

329Mohawks

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 8.13Rank 25Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 446.2 ±13.5

1468Hicksville J-Birds

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 37.03Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

533The PSIcotics

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 4Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

5736Kingsmen Robotics

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 216.87Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2487, 2875, 329

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.7 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 2487, 2875, 329

Auto

9.4 14%

Teleop

35.8 54%

Endgame

20.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1468, 533, 5736

/ 100 compat

Projected

257.9 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 1468, 533, 5736

Auto

80.4 32%

Teleop

135.6 54%

Endgame

33.4 13%

Strengths

· 5736 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.53 · Blue 2.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score62.7pts

Blue projected score257.9pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -195.2
Score range: 42–279
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 476 vs event baseline 116.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

156.3Season APEX446.2

9.4Auto80.4

35.8Teleop135.6

20.8Endgame33.4

66Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	97
teleop	26	181
endgame	25	88
foul	5	35
total	75	401

Result

Final score

75 – 401

Prediction correct · off by 77.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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