Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.74 – 109.04

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

27 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 42.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 300.1 ±15

3171HURRICANES

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX -6.23Rank 48Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 86

4458Infernobotix

Season APEX 108.7Event APEX 39Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

358Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 29.97Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 280.4 ±17.5

7673Formosan Sika

Season APEX 67.6Event APEX 11.32Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

2872CyberCats

Season APEX 180.6Event APEX 77.07Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

329Mohawks

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 20.65Rank 25Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3171, 4458, 358

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.7 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 3171, 4458, 358

Auto

17.6 27%

Teleop

28.1 43%

Endgame

19.5 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7673, 2872, 329

/ 100 compat

Projected

109 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 7673, 2872, 329

Auto

17.3 18%

Teleop

60.4 61%

Endgame

21.1 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.16 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score62.7pts

Blue projected score109pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -46.3
Score range: 38–134
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 86 vs event baseline 139.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

300.1Season APEX280.4

17.6Auto17.3

28.1Teleop60.4

19.5Endgame21.1

86Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	5
teleop	12	10
endgame	15	19
foul	0	25
total	27	59

Result

Final score

27 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 42.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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