Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

176.37 – 18.34

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

283 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 61.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 445.6 ±16.9

8267Riptide Robotics 8267

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 51.11Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

810The Mechanical Bulls

Season APEX 130.9Event APEX 106.73Rank 6Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

11030Bonac Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 89.9Event APEX 18.53Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 174.9 ±20

601BayBots

Provisional

Season APEX 27.2Event APEX 2.98Rank 47Record 1-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

806The Brooklyn Blacksmiths

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX -22.81Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10621Crusaders

Provisional

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 38.17Rank 26Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8267, 810, 11030

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.4 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 8267, 810, 11030

Auto

42.3 24%

Teleop

92.5 52%

Endgame

43.3 24%

Strengths

· 810 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 601, 806, 10621

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.3 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 601, 806, 10621

Auto

15.4 90%

Teleop

-6.4 0%

Endgame

8.2 48%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.31 · Blue 0.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score176.4pts

Blue projected score18.3pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 158
Score range: -2–196
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 317 vs event baseline 113.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

445.6Season APEX174.9

42.3Auto15.4

92.5Teleop-6.4

43.3Endgame8.2

91Consistency105

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	11
teleop	167	16
endgame	82	7
foul	0	0
total	283	34

Result

Final score

283 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 61.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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