Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

54.53 – 23.28

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

55 – 95

Prediction missed · off by 36.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 155.9 ±22.5

545ROBO-DAWGS

Provisional

Season APEX 38.8Event APEX 28.97Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

11030Bonac Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 89.9Event APEX 19.91Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

601BayBots

Provisional

Season APEX 27.2Event APEX 5.65Rank 47Record 1-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 191.1 ±19.2

496Royals

Provisional

Season APEX 72.8Event APEX 42.73Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

6806Mineola Wild Reds

Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 2.21Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86

2161Robocats

Provisional

Season APEX 47Event APEX -21.66Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 545, 11030, 601

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.5 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 545, 11030, 601

Auto

6.0 13%

Teleop

19.0 42%

Endgame

20.0 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 496, 6806, 2161

/ 100 compat

Projected

23.3 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 496, 6806, 2161

Auto

20.8 84%

Teleop

7.0 28%

Endgame

-3.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.6 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score54.5pts

Blue projected score23.3pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 31.3
Score range: 2–76
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 150 vs event baseline 114.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

155.9Season APEX191.1

6Auto20.8

19Teleop7

20Endgame-3.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	16
teleop	21	63
endgame	21	16
foul	0	0
total	55	95

Result

Final score

55 – 95

Prediction missed · off by 36.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.