Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

32.44 – 207.68

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

52 – 436

Prediction correct · off by 123.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 169.1 ±19.3

2869Regal Eagles

Season APEX 89Event APEX 8.55Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

514Entropy

Provisional

Season APEX 29.6Event APEX 10Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

871Robotechs

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 13.89Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 529.9 ±13.5

5736Kingsmen Robotics

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 132.61Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

358Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 11.86Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

810The Mechanical Bulls

Season APEX 130.9Event APEX 63.21Rank 6Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2869, 514, 871

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.4 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 2869, 514, 871

Auto

16.4 48%

Teleop

7.8 23%

Endgame

9.7 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5736, 358, 810

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.7 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 5736, 358, 810

Auto

55.1 28%

Teleop

95.7 49%

Endgame

45.0 23%

Strengths

· 5736 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.55 · Blue 2.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score32.4pts

Blue projected score207.7pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -175.2
Score range: 13–227
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 488 vs event baseline 107.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

169.1Season APEX529.9

16.4Auto55.1

7.8Teleop95.7

9.7Endgame45

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	120
teleop	19	215
endgame	12	101
foul	0	0
total	52	436

Result

Final score

52 – 436

Prediction correct · off by 123.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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